VSK Arhus 0-3 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 20 Apr 2024

VSK Arhus
0-3 HT 0-0
Naesby
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

VSK Arhus vs Naesby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

VSK Arhus v Naesby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 24%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.25/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.16
+34% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +59%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
367 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2

VSK Arhus vs Naesby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VSK Arhus
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Naesby
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Naesby Naesby 2-4 HT 1-2 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
23.09.2023 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 2-0 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
03.06.2023 Naesby Naesby 1-2 HT 1-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
29.04.2023 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 2-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
05.11.2022 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
15.10.2022 Naesby Naesby 2-0 HT 1-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
POST-MATCH VSK Arhus vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby cruised past VSK Arhus 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was VSK Arhus at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, VSK Arhus had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for VSK Arhus and 1.00 for Naesby.

What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Naesby?

VSK Arhus 0-3 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 51%, draw 25%, Naesby 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (VSK Arhus), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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