Frem 1-0 Avarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 20 Apr 2024

Frem
1-0 HT 0-0
Avarta
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.3pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frem EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Avarta EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.00/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.95
+7% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frem
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Avarta
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Frem Frem 1-0 HT 0-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
01.10.2023 Avarta Avarta 0-1 HT 0-0 Frem Frem DAN3
04.09.2019 Avarta Avarta 2-1 HT 0-1 Frem Frem DAK
01.09.2019 Avarta Avarta 0-0 HT 0-0 Frem Frem DAN2
11.04.2015 Frem Frem 1-0 HT 1-0 Avarta Avarta DAN2
04.05.2014 Avarta Avarta 1-7 HT 1-3 Frem Frem DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frem
1-0
AWAY Avarta
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Frem vs Avarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frem nicked a narrow win over Avarta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Frem as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Frem had 55% of the ball to Avarta's 45%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frem had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Frem and 0.50 for Avarta.

What was the final score of Frem vs Avarta?

Frem 1-0 Avarta in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frem vs Avarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frem win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Frem 58%, draw 21%, Avarta 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frem), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Frem) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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