Frem 1-0 Avarta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2024

Frem
1-0 HT 0-0
Avarta
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.8
Over 2.5
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.6pp
18%
Draw
24%
-5.7pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+11.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frem EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Avarta EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.41/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.64
-24% / +132% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
406 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frem
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Avarta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Avarta Avarta 0-1 HT 0-0 Frem Frem DAN3
04.09.2019 Avarta Avarta 2-1 HT 0-1 Frem Frem DAK
01.09.2019 Avarta Avarta 0-0 HT 0-0 Frem Frem DAN2
11.04.2015 Frem Frem 1-0 HT 1-0 Avarta Avarta DAN2
04.05.2014 Avarta Avarta 1-7 HT 1-3 Frem Frem DAN2
POST-MATCH Frem vs Avarta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frem edged past Avarta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Frem as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Frem had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Frem and 0.60 for Avarta.

What was the final score of Frem vs Avarta?

Frem 1-0 Avarta in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frem vs Avarta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frem win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Frem 50%, draw 18%, Avarta 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frem), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Frem) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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