VSK Arhus 2-1 Vejgaard BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.0pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejgaard BK EU Bookmakers 23%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
2.06/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.00
+16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +83%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VSK Arhus
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vejgaard BK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.10.2023 Vejgaard BK Vejgaard BK 1-2 HT 1-2 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
POST-MATCH VSK Arhus vs Vejgaard BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VSK Arhus edged past Vejgaard BK 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had VSK Arhus as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Vejgaard BK?

VSK Arhus 2-1 Vejgaard BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Vejgaard BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 46%, draw 29%, Vejgaard BK 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VSK Arhus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VSK Arhus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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