Naesby 3-1 VSK Arhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.8pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY VSK Arhus EU Bookmakers 38%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.63/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.45
+8% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
1W-0D-5L
AWAY VSK Arhus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
20.04.2024 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 0-3 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
21.10.2023 Naesby Naesby 2-4 HT 1-2 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
23.09.2023 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 2-0 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
03.06.2023 Naesby Naesby 1-2 HT 1-0 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus DAN3
29.04.2023 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 2-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
05.11.2022 VSK Arhus VSK Arhus 1-0 HT 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
3-1
AWAY VSK Arhus
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Naesby vs VSK Arhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby beat VSK Arhus 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naesby as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Naesby had 54% of the ball to VSK Arhus's 46%, shots finished 14-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VSK Arhus led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Naesby and 1.83 for VSK Arhus.

What was the final score of Naesby vs VSK Arhus?

Naesby 3-1 VSK Arhus in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs VSK Arhus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naesby 41%, draw 25%, VSK Arhus 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naesby) ✗ Under 2.5
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