Changwon City 1-0 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 7 Sep 2024

Changwon City
1-0 HT 1-0
Ulsan Citizen
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
South Kore - K3 League – 2024

Changwon City vs Ulsan Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.0pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.8pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Changwon City v Ulsan Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 24%
-14% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.01/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.34
-41% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
316 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Changwon City vs Ulsan Citizen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
The Meetings
23.06.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 1-2 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
11.03.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 3-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
17.09.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-2 HT 0-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
11.06.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
13.05.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
26.02.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City edged past Ulsan Citizen 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Changwon City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Changwon City and 0.83 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Ulsan Citizen?

Changwon City 1-0 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 53%, draw 20%, Ulsan Citizen 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changwon City), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Changwon City) ✓ BTTS No
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