Mokpo City 1-3 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.31/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.95
+16% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +20%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mokpo City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
3 Corners 8
12.05.2024 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
20.08.2023 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-4 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
22.04.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-2 HT 1-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
26.06.2022 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
22.06.2022 Mokpo City Mokpo City 0-1 HT 0-1 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
05.09.2021 Hwaseong Hwaseong 2-3 HT 0-2 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
POST-MATCH Mokpo City vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong got the better of Mokpo City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Hwaseong found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hwaseong led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mokpo City and 1.17 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Mokpo City vs Hwaseong?

Mokpo City 1-3 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K3 League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mokpo City vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mokpo City 32%, draw 28%, Hwaseong 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hwaseong) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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