Marupe 1-0 Leevon / PPK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 7 Sep 2024

Marupe
1-0 HT 1-0
Leevon / PPK
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Latvia - 1st Division – 2024

Marupe vs Leevon / PPK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.9
Over 2.5
31%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.7
No
63%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
29%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
49%
+19.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
51%
-19.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
55%
-17.8pp
63%
BTTS No
45%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Marupe v Leevon / PPK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marupe EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.01
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Marupe vs Leevon / PPK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marupe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Leevon / PPK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Leevon / PPK Leevon / PPK 4-2 HT 2-1 Marupe Marupe LET1
POST-MATCH Marupe vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marupe edged past Leevon / PPK 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Marupe found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Marupe vs Leevon / PPK?

Marupe 1-0 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marupe vs Leevon / PPK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Marupe 32%, draw 30%, Leevon / PPK 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leevon / PPK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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