Leevon / PPK 4-2 Marupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.8pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.8pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Marupe EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Leevon / PPK vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leevon / PPK got the better of Marupe 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leevon / PPK as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Leevon / PPK vs Marupe?

Leevon / PPK 4-2 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leevon / PPK vs Marupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Leevon / PPK 50%, draw 27%, Marupe 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leevon / PPK) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✗ BTTS No
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