Ogre United 0-3 JDFS Alberts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.5
No
56%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
28%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.7pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.4pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
62%
-18.8pp
56%
BTTS No
38%
+18.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY JDFS Alberts EU Bookmakers 49%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/2.00
-35% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -37%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ogre United vs JDFS Alberts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JDFS Alberts ran out comfortable winners over Ogre United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JDFS Alberts as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Ogre United vs JDFS Alberts?

Ogre United 0-3 JDFS Alberts in the Latvia - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogre United vs JDFS Alberts?

Before kick-off our model rated an JDFS Alberts win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 33%, draw 19%, JDFS Alberts 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JDFS Alberts), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JDFS Alberts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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