20/04/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Skanste vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
30%
Draw
24%
32%
Away Win
42%
56%
Under 2.5
42%
44%
Over 2.5
58%
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
49%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Skanste v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Skanste
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Super Nova
EU Bookmakers 46%
+55% /
+55%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-13%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
15
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
312 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
382 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Skanste vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Skanste and Super Nova played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Skanste vs Super Nova?
Skanste 0-0 Super Nova in the Latvia - 1st Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Skanste vs Super Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Skanste 39%, draw 30%, Super Nova 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Skanste), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Skanste)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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20 Apr 2024