07/09/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Lysekloster vs Jerv Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
24%
Draw
25%
38%
Away Win
41%
42%
Under 2.5
36%
58%
Over 2.5
64%
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
39%
BTTS No
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lysekloster v Jerv — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lysekloster
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Jerv
EU Bookmakers 45%
-19% /
-19%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+7% /
+7%
0.25/1.06
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.52/2.01
-85%
/
+43%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+53%
/
-19%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
330 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
319 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
Lysekloster vs Jerv Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Lysekloster
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Jerv
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
50%
Ball Possession
50%
10
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
8
1
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
4
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Lysekloster vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lysekloster swept aside Jerv 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Lysekloster made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Lysekloster vs Jerv?
Lysekloster 3-0 Jerv in the Norway - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lysekloster vs Jerv?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lysekloster win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lysekloster 38%, draw 24%, Jerv 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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