Notodden 3-0 Kvik Halden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.5
No
36%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.7
2-3 Goals
34%
1.91
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
33%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
7.91
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.85 — our 33% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
62%
+1.8pp
36%
BTTS No
38%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kvik Halden EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.35/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.87
-26% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notodden
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Kvik Halden
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.05.2024 Kvik Halden Kvik Halden 2-3 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
15.10.2022 Notodden Notodden 2-1 HT 1-0 Kvik Halden Kvik Halden NOR3
18.04.2022 Kvik Halden Kvik Halden 3-0 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Kvik Halden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notodden cruised past Kvik Halden 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Notodden made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Notodden had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Notodden and 2.00 for Kvik Halden.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Kvik Halden?

Notodden 3-0 Kvik Halden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Kvik Halden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notodden win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Notodden 37%, draw 27%, Kvik Halden 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notodden), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Notodden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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