Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 Erbaaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 23%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+72% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karacabey Belediye Spor
1-0
AWAY Erbaaspor
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Erbaaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor squeezed past Erbaaspor 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karacabey Belediye Spor as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Karacabey Belediye Spor had 54% of the ball to Erbaaspor's 46%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Erbaaspor?

Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 Erbaaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karacabey Belediye Spor vs Erbaaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karacabey Belediye Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Karacabey Belediye Spor 49%, draw 22%, Erbaaspor 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karacabey Belediye Spor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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