Serik Belediyespor 1-1 Somaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Serik Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Somaspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.39/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.74
+70% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +90%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Serik Belediyespor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Somaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2022 Somaspor Somaspor 2-1 HT 0-1 Serik Belediyespor S2-K
17.10.2021 Serik Belediyespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Somaspor Somaspor S2-K
POST-MATCH Serik Belediyespor vs Somaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serik Belediyespor and Somaspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Serik Belediyespor carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Serik Belediyespor and 1.00 for Somaspor.

What was the final score of Serik Belediyespor vs Somaspor?

Serik Belediyespor 1-1 Somaspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Serik Belediyespor vs Somaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Serik Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Serik Belediyespor 55%, draw 24%, Somaspor 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Serik Belediyespor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Serik Belediyespor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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