Cerro 1-1 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +11%
0.98/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.84
-11% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +32%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 5-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
15.11.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 1-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
08.04.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU
04.12.2021 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU2
18.02.2021 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
27.08.2020 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
1-1
AWAY Defensor Sporting
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro and Defensor Sporting shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 28% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cerro had 35% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 65%, shots finished 4-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cerro and 1.33 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Defensor Sporting?

Cerro 1-1 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cerro 31%, draw 28%, Defensor Sporting 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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