One Knoxville 1-1 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.28/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.87
-25% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
21.1 Crosses 15.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.59 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
448 Passes 353
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-2 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
01.10.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-1 HT 0-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
27.08.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
18.06.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
1-1
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.63 xG 0.37
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
606 Passes 323
94% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville and Charlotte Independence couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was One Knoxville at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, One Knoxville had 64% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 36%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.63 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, One Knoxville had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for One Knoxville and 0.75 for Charlotte Independence.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence?

One Knoxville 1-1 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 47%, draw 27%, Charlotte Independence 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (One Knoxville) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Under 2.5
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