Charlotte Independence 1-2 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.66/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.67
+35% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.5 Crosses 19.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
0W-2D-1L
AWAY One Knoxville
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.88 xG 1.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
361 Passes 463
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-1 HT 0-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
27.08.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
18.06.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte Independence
1-2
AWAY One Knoxville
1.21 xG 1.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
328 Passes 402
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 36
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville squeezed past Charlotte Independence 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day One Knoxville made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charlotte Independence had 47% of the ball to One Knoxville's 53%, shots finished 12-25, expected goals 1.21 to 1.97.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, One Knoxville led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Charlotte Independence and 1.33 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?

Charlotte Independence 1-2 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 38%, draw 31%, One Knoxville 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte Independence) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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