Central Valley Fuego 1-2 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.9pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.9pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-7.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Valley Fuego EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 56%
-19% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.16/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.90
-32% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +108%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
17.0 Crosses 16.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Valley Fuego
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Union Omaha
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.50 xG 1.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
307 Passes 268
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-1 HT 0-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
02.07.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
09.04.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-2 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
16.10.2022 Union Omaha Union Omaha 0-2 HT 0-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
07.08.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
24.04.2022 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-0 HT 0-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Valley Fuego
1-2
AWAY Union Omaha
0.61 xG 1.07
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
316 Passes 252
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Valley Fuego vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha squeezed past Central Valley Fuego 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Central Valley Fuego had 53% of the ball to Union Omaha's 47%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.61 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Central Valley Fuego and 1.33 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Central Valley Fuego vs Union Omaha?

Central Valley Fuego 1-2 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Valley Fuego vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Central Valley Fuego 23%, draw 32%, Union Omaha 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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