Tormenta 1-1 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.5pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tormenta EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.28/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.57
+20% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 81%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
12.6 Crosses 14.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tormenta
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Forward Madison
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.94 xG 0.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 Passes 386
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 4-2 HT 1-2 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
27.07.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-4 HT 1-1 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
29.06.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 0-1 HT 0-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
25.09.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-1 HT 0-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
17.07.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-0 HT 0-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
20.06.2022 Tormenta Tormenta 2-2 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tormenta
1-1
AWAY Forward Madison
0.93 xG 1.71
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
355 Passes 379
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tormenta vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tormenta and Forward Madison shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Tormenta had 50% of the ball to Forward Madison's 50%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.93 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tormenta had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tormenta and 1.33 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Tormenta vs Forward Madison?

Tormenta 1-1 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tormenta vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tormenta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tormenta 38%, draw 29%, Forward Madison 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tormenta), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tormenta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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