Liverpool (K) 1-4 Everton (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.48/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.43
+26% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
19.2 Crosses 23.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool (K)
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Everton (K)
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.96 xG 0.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
326 Passes 265
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.11.2024 Everton (K) Everton (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
24.03.2024 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
17.11.2019 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
11.05.2019 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
02.12.2018 Everton (K) Everton (K) 2-1 HT 2-1 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
29.04.2018 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool (K)
1-4
AWAY Everton (K)
1.56 xG 0.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
415 Passes 364
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool (K) vs Everton (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton (K) ran out comfortable winners over Liverpool (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Liverpool (K) had 53% of the ball to Everton (K)'s 47%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.56 to 0.96 — on chances, Liverpool (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Liverpool (K) and 1.00 for Everton (K).

What was the final score of Liverpool (K) vs Everton (K)?

Liverpool (K) 1-4 Everton (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool (K) vs Everton (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 49%, draw 24%, Everton (K) 27%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNKPL More England - Women's Premier League
7 Sep 2025
14:00 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Analysis →
14:00 Manchester United (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K) Analysis →
14:00 Tottenham Hotspur (K) vs West Ham United (K) Analysis →