Osasuna II 1-1 Ourense CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.69
4-5 Goals
22%
3.93
6+ Goals
11%
18.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.84/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.78
+25% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ourense CF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
01.09.2024 Ourense CF Ourense CF 0-1 HT 0-1 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
1-1
AWAY Ourense CF
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Ourense CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna II and Ourense CF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Osasuna II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Osasuna II had 61% of the ball to Ourense CF's 39%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Ourense CF?

Osasuna II 1-1 Ourense CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Ourense CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 51%, draw 24%, Ourense CF 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Osasuna II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osasuna II) ✓ BTTS Yes
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