Ourense CF 0-1 Osasuna II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.93
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 30%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
0.69/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.49
-50% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
452 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
0-1
AWAY Osasuna II
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Osasuna II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna II nicked a narrow win over Ourense CF 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ourense CF at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ourense CF had 61% of the ball to Osasuna II's 39%, shots finished 21-5.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Osasuna II?

Ourense CF 0-1 Osasuna II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Osasuna II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ourense CF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 41%, draw 27%, Osasuna II 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ourense CF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ourense CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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