Intercity Alicante 1-1 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.59
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
1.35/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.70
+8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +60%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Intercity Alicante
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 2-1 HT 0-1 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
01.10.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Intercity Alicante
1-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Intercity Alicante vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Intercity Alicante and Atletico Madrid II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Intercity Alicante had 36% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 64%, shots finished 7-16.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid II led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Intercity Alicante and 1.00 for Atletico Madrid II.

What was the final score of Intercity Alicante vs Atletico Madrid II?

Intercity Alicante 1-1 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Intercity Alicante vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Intercity Alicante win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Intercity Alicante 36%, draw 31%, Atletico Madrid II 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Intercity Alicante), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Intercity Alicante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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