Gimnastica Segoviana 2-2 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.59
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.2pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Segoviana EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastica Segoviana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ponferradina
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.09.2017 Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana 0-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastica Segoviana
2-2
AWAY Ponferradina
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Segoviana vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastica Segoviana and Ponferradina shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnastica Segoviana had 48% of the ball to Ponferradina's 52%, shots finished 13-19.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Segoviana vs Ponferradina?

Gimnastica Segoviana 2-2 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Segoviana vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastica Segoviana win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Segoviana 35%, draw 33%, Ponferradina 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastica Segoviana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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