Real Union 3-2 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.11
6+ Goals
10%
19.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 32% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Union EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +13%
1.44/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.74
+15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +51%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Union
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Real Union Real Union 1-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
14.10.2023 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 3-0 HT 0-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
26.01.2022 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 1-2 HT 0-2 Real Union Real Union İS3
10.09.2021 Real Union Real Union 1-4 HT 1-2 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Union
3-2
AWAY Celta Vigo II
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Union vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Union nicked a narrow win over Celta Vigo II 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Union as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Union had 57% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 43%, shots finished 15-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo II led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Union and 2.25 for Celta Vigo II.

What was the final score of Real Union vs Celta Vigo II?

Real Union 3-2 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Union vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Union win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Union 41%, draw 27%, Celta Vigo II 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Union) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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