Algeciras 1-1 Sevilla II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.46
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla II EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.40/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.57
+3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sevilla II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 3
07.05.2022 Algeciras Algeciras 3-0 HT 2-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
01.10.2021 Sevilla II Sevilla II 1-3 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
09.02.2020 Sevilla II Sevilla II 3-2 HT 1-2 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
22.09.2019 Algeciras Algeciras 3-0 HT 0-0 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
27.04.2014 Sevilla II Sevilla II 1-1 HT 0-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
10.12.2013 Algeciras Algeciras 0-3 HT 0-3 Sevilla II Sevilla II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
1-1
AWAY Sevilla II
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Sevilla II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras and Sevilla II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Algeciras at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Algeciras had 63% of the ball to Sevilla II's 37%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Algeciras had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Algeciras and 1.33 for Sevilla II.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Sevilla II?

Algeciras 1-1 Sevilla II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Sevilla II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 45%, draw 28%, Sevilla II 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Algeciras), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Algeciras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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