Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
5.9
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.6pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.54/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.84
-5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Sestao River
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Sestao River Sestao River 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
12.11.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-0 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
07.06.2014 Sestao River Sestao River 1-2 HT 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
1-1
AWAY Sestao River
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona and Sestao River couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnastic Tarragona at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 64% of the ball to Sestao River's 36%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimnastic Tarragona and 0.67 for Sestao River.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Sestao River?

Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 48%, draw 26%, Sestao River 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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