Sestao River 1-1 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.41
Over 2.5
32%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
15%
6.84
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
67%
+1.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
33%
-0.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.8pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +8%
0.54/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.45
-28% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 12.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.11.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-0 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
07.06.2014 Sestao River Sestao River 1-2 HT 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
1-1
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River and Gimnastic Tarragona shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Sestao River had 61% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 39%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sestao River and 1.00 for Gimnastic Tarragona.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Sestao River 1-1 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 32%, draw 32%, Gimnastic Tarragona 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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