Ceuta 1-1 Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
43%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.03
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
43%
Away Win
34%
+9.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cordoba EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -24%
1.60/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.10
+43% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Cordoba
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.11.2023 Cordoba Cordoba 3-3 HT 1-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
12.03.2023 Cordoba Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
06.11.2022 Ceuta Ceuta 1-2 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS3
08.05.2022 Cordoba Cordoba 3-2 HT 1-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS4
19.12.2021 Ceuta Ceuta 0-0 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS4
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta and Cordoba shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cordoba at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cordoba led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Ceuta and 1.80 for Cordoba.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs Cordoba?

Ceuta 1-1 Cordoba in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 32%, draw 25%, Cordoba 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cordoba), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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