Atletico Madrid II 3-0 Atletico Baleares — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.64
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
2.11/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.61
+23% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Atletico Baleares
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.10.2023 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
31.01.2021 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
01.11.2020 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
10.11.2019 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
3-0
AWAY Atletico Baleares
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Atletico Baleares
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II cruised past Atletico Baleares 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 55% of the ball to Atletico Baleares's 45%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid II had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Atletico Madrid II and 0.25 for Atletico Baleares.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Atletico Baleares?

Atletico Madrid II 3-0 Atletico Baleares in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Atletico Baleares?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 54%, draw 25%, Atletico Baleares 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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