Real Murcia 0-1 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.7
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+7.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.18/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.29
-13% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Intercity Alicante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.11.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
30.04.2023 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-1 HT 0-1 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS3
04.09.2022 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 1-3 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
06.02.2022 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS4
19.09.2021 Real Murcia Real Murcia 2-0 HT 1-0 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
0-1
AWAY Intercity Alicante
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Intercity Alicante edged past Real Murcia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Real Murcia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Murcia had 59% of the ball to Intercity Alicante's 41%, shots finished 8-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Murcia had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Murcia and 0.40 for Intercity Alicante.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Intercity Alicante?

Real Murcia 0-1 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 42%, draw 26%, Intercity Alicante 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Murcia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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