Atletico Madrid II 2-1 Intercity Alicante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.29
6+ Goals
11%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Intercity Alicante EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.70/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.19
+27% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Intercity Alicante
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
2 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Intercity Alicante Intercity Alicante 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid II
2-1
AWAY Intercity Alicante
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid II vs Intercity Alicante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II edged past Intercity Alicante 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid II had 60% of the ball to Intercity Alicante's 40%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid II vs Intercity Alicante?

Atletico Madrid II 2-1 Intercity Alicante in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid II vs Intercity Alicante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid II 48%, draw 26%, Intercity Alicante 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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