Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.14
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.89
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural Leonesa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.50/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.66
-1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +86%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 196 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural Leonesa
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Lugo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 Passes 352
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Lugo Lugo 0-3 HT 0-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS3
04.08.2018 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-2 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo HAZ
13.05.2018 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 1-1 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
10.12.2017 Lugo Lugo 3-1 HT 0-0 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural Leonesa
2-0
AWAY Lugo
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural Leonesa got the better of Lugo 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cultural Leonesa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cultural Leonesa had 44% of the ball to Lugo's 56%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lugo led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cultural Leonesa and 1.50 for Lugo.

What was the final score of Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo?

Cultural Leonesa 2-0 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural Leonesa vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural Leonesa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cultural Leonesa 44%, draw 29%, Lugo 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural Leonesa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cultural Leonesa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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