San Fernando 1-0 UD Ibiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.21
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.6pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Fernando EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.20/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.42
+20% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +133%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
220 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Fernando
0W-0D-1L
AWAY UD Ibiza
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.01.2024 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 3-2 HT 0-1 San Fernando San Fernando İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Fernando
1-0
AWAY UD Ibiza
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH San Fernando vs UD Ibiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Fernando nicked a narrow win over UD Ibiza 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was UD Ibiza at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Fernando had 47% of the ball to UD Ibiza's 53%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of San Fernando vs UD Ibiza?

San Fernando 1-0 UD Ibiza in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Fernando vs UD Ibiza?

Before kick-off our model rated an UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Fernando 28%, draw 31%, UD Ibiza 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UD Ibiza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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