Ponferradina vs Gimnastic Tarragona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponferradina v Gimnastic Tarragona — Team-Based Signals
Ponferradina vs Gimnastic Tarragona Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Ponferradina
İS3
1-1
HT 0-1
Ponferradina
İS2
2-2
HT 0-0
Gimnastic Tarragona
İS2
1-1
HT 1-1
Gimnastic Tarragona
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Ponferradina
İS2
Ponferradina 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona — Actual Match Statistics
Gimnastic Tarragona squeezed past Ponferradina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Ponferradina at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, Ponferradina had 61% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 39%, shots finished 13-6.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Ponferradina and 0.80 for Gimnastic Tarragona.
What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Gimnastic Tarragona?
Ponferradina 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Gimnastic Tarragona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 41%, draw 27%, Gimnastic Tarragona 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ponferradina) went the other way.