Bucheon 1995 1-0 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.69
4-5 Goals
19%
3.84
6+ Goals
10%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 33% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.26/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.66
+14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +58%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 13.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucheon 1995
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Incheon United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
337 Passes 306
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2025 Incheon United Incheon United 1-0 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
26.04.2025 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-3 HT 1-3 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucheon 1995
1-0
AWAY Incheon United
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
192 Passes 465
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
4 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bucheon 1995 vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucheon 1995 nicked a narrow win over Incheon United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Incheon United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bucheon 1995 had 32% of the ball to Incheon United's 68%, shots finished 4-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bucheon 1995 and 2.00 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Bucheon 1995 vs Incheon United?

Bucheon 1995 1-0 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucheon 1995 vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bucheon 1995 29%, draw 26%, Incheon United 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Incheon United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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