Hwaseong 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.96
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 29% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 52%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
0.79/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.97
-30% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
12.6 Crosses 19.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
214 Passes 440
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 0
26.07.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
02.03.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
1-1
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
261 Passes 416
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong and Asan Mugunghwa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Asan Mugunghwa at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hwaseong had 40% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 60%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hwaseong and 1.00 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Hwaseong 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 24%, draw 30%, Asan Mugunghwa 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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