Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.93
2-3 Goals
34%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 32% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.60/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/2.00
-10% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.4 Crosses 9.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
429 Passes 201
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 1-1 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-1
AWAY Hwaseong
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
450 Passes 228
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa and Hwaseong shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Asan Mugunghwa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 66% of the ball to Hwaseong's 34%, shots finished 10-6.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Hwaseong?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 48%, draw 24%, Hwaseong 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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