Hwaseong 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 2 Mar 2025

Hwaseong
1-1 HT 0-1
Asan Mugunghwa
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2025

Hwaseong vs Asan Mugunghwa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
2.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 27% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hwaseong v Asan Mugunghwa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
– Crosses 20.6
– Yellow Cards 2.1

Hwaseong 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
1-1
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 10
201 Passes 429
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong and Asan Mugunghwa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Hwaseong had 38% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 62%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Hwaseong 1-1 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hwaseong win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 38%, draw 26%, Asan Mugunghwa 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hwaseong), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hwaseong) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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