Cheonan City 1-2 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
44%
Away Win
51%
-7.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.96/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.22
-16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
13.4 Crosses 17.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 Passes 365
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
26.06.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-2 HT 1-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
02.03.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-3 HT 1-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
20.09.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 1-0 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
11.06.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-1 HT 1-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
12.03.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 0-3 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
1-2
AWAY Bucheon 1995
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
198 Passes 401
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucheon 1995 nicked a narrow win over Cheonan City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bucheon 1995 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Cheonan City had 39% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 61%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cheonan City and 1.33 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Bucheon 1995?

Cheonan City 1-2 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bucheon 1995 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 29%, draw 27%, Bucheon 1995 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bucheon 1995), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bucheon 1995) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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