Busan I Park 0-1 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 28% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.67/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.35
-19% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.0 Crosses 16.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
610 Passes 195
90% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
23.07.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-1 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
09.03.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-4 HT 1-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
01.10.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
21.05.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
15.04.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
0-1
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
221 Passes 279
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongnam FC edged past Busan I Park 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Busan I Park at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Busan I Park had 48% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 52%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Busan I Park and 0.67 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC?

Busan I Park 0-1 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 43%, draw 27%, Gyeongnam FC 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Busan I Park) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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