Busan I Park 2-1 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 23 Jul 2024

Busan I Park
2-1 HT 1-0
Gyeongnam FC
📅23/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2024

Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
3.75
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 22% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Busan I Park v Gyeongnam FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.67/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.35
-28% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
15.6 Crosses 17.9
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.52 xG 1.10
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
236 Passes 395
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-4 HT 1-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
01.10.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
21.05.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
15.04.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
10.09.2022 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-0 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
09.07.2022 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2

Busan I Park 2-1 Gyeongnam FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
2-1
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park nicked a narrow win over Gyeongnam FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Busan I Park as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Busan I Park had 43% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 57%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Busan I Park and 0.50 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC?

Busan I Park 2-1 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 41%, draw 26%, Gyeongnam FC 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5
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