Seongnam 1-2 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 23 Jul 2024

📅23/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 48%
-13% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.15/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.16
-3% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
344 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
Crosses 14.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seongnam
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.05.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-0 HT 2-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
03.09.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
29.07.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 2-1 HT 2-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
08.04.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-2 HT 0-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
09.09.2015 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 HT 0-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOK
17.06.2015 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 HT 1-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
1-2
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons nicked a narrow win over Seongnam 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jeonnam Dragons as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Seongnam had 41% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 59%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Seongnam and 1.33 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Seongnam 1-2 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 23/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 28%, draw 29%, Jeonnam Dragons 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✓ BTTS Yes
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