Busan I Park 1-1 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.34
6+ Goals
12%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 27% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.67/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.35
-26% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
18.8 Crosses 17.3
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.66 xG 0.94
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
254 Passes 402
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-1 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
09.03.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-4 HT 1-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
01.10.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
21.05.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
15.04.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
10.09.2022 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-0 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
1-1
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
71% Ball Possession 29%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
610 Passes 195
90% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park and Gyeongnam FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Busan I Park at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Busan I Park had 71% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 29%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Busan I Park and 0.50 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC?

Busan I Park 1-1 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 44%, draw 25%, Gyeongnam FC 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Busan I Park), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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