Cheonan City 4-0 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 30% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 38%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.16/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.24
-11% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.0 Crosses 20.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
300 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 3-1 HT 3-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
05.10.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 3-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
28.07.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 3-3 HT 0-2 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
07.04.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-2 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
21.08.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
03.06.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-3 HT 2-3 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
4-0
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
300 Passes 227
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheonan City ran out comfortable winners over Gyeongnam FC 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cheonan City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Cheonan City had 55% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 45%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongnam FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cheonan City and 2.17 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Gyeongnam FC?

Cheonan City 4-0 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheonan City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 41%, draw 25%, Gyeongnam FC 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cheonan City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cheonan City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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