Cheonan City 3-1 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.95
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -3%
1.27/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.42
-6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -18%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
15.0 Crosses 24.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 3-3 HT 0-2 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
07.04.2024 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-2 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
21.08.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
03.06.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-3 HT 2-3 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
29.04.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
3-1
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
268 Passes 445
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheonan City got the better of Gyeongnam FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Cheonan City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cheonan City had 40% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 60%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gyeongnam FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Cheonan City and 2.20 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Gyeongnam FC?

Cheonan City 3-1 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 37%, draw 25%, Gyeongnam FC 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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