Gimpo Citizen 3-0 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.57
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.6pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.9pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 39%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
0.91/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.78
+23% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
13.8 Crosses 19.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.33 xG 1.03
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
199 Passes 315
58% Pass Accuracy 68%
7 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.07.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 3-3 HT 1-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
15.05.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
24.09.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
02.07.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
14.05.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
01.10.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
3-0
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 3
150 Passes 433
54% Pass Accuracy 80%
4 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen swept aside Asan Mugunghwa 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 34% — and on the day Gimpo Citizen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 33% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 67%, shots finished 6-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 0.83 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Gimpo Citizen 3-0 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 33%, draw 33%, Asan Mugunghwa 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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