Gimpo Citizen 3-3 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.29
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.34
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.5pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -13%
0.81/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.78
-2% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
301 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 71%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
16.9 Crosses 21.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.24 xG 1.63
42% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
196 Passes 318
59% Pass Accuracy 70%
5 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.05.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
24.09.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
02.07.2023 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
14.05.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
01.10.2022 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
17.08.2022 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
3-3
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen and Asan Mugunghwa couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 58% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 42%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 0.33 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Gimpo Citizen 3-3 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 40%, draw 28%, Asan Mugunghwa 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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