Busan I Park 2-2 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.32
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 28%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.67/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.18
-33% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
15.6 Crosses 17.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 0.56
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
387 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-3 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
29.10.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-1 HT 0-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
30.07.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
13.05.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
22.08.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-1 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
26.06.2022 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-2 HT 0-2 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
2-2
AWAY Bucheon 1995
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park and Bucheon 1995 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Busan I Park had 67% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 33%, shots finished 19-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Busan I Park and 1.00 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Bucheon 1995?

Busan I Park 2-2 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 40%, draw 27%, Bucheon 1995 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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